Défense

Hormuz – Allies… or Subcontractors ?

By Régis Ollivier – Tuesday, March 17, 2026

In Washington, requests are no longer truly made.
They are conveyed.

And for far too long, some have mistaken alliance for alignment.

So when France declines an American request in the Strait of Hormuz, the reaction is immediate: irritation, criticism, and the familiar charge of a “lack of solidarity.”

Which, translated plainly, means: you are no longer complying.

Because that is, in essence, the issue.

For years, NATO has been gradually evolving from a defensive alliance into a strategic framework increasingly shaped around U.S. priorities.

Participation is expected.
Understanding is optional.
Decision-making, even less so.

This time, however, the answer is no.

Germany says Nein.
Spain says No.
And France — in a move rare enough to be noted — steps out of line and declines to play the role of the well-disciplined extra.

Let us be clear:
an ally is neither a vassal nor a subcontractor.

Still less an instrument.

If the United States chooses to act, it is free to do so.
If it seeks support, it must persuade.

But it would do well to stop confusing leadership with instruction.

Push the line too far, for too long, and even the most reliable allies will eventually let go.

The Colonel salutes you. 🫡

Former DGSE Officer | Strategic Analyst – Defense & Geopolitics | Intelligence & International Security
French Ministry of Armed Forces
EMSST – Advanced Military Studies (Paris, France)

Armées

The Attrition Illusion In The Middle East

Régis Ollivier – March 15, 2026

Already used by Russia in the war against Ukraine — and now invoked against Iran — the same narrative keeps returning: wait long enough and the adversary will run out of missiles and ammunition.

The world waits.

And waits.

Like Sister Anne in the old tale, it keeps looking to the horizon… and sees nothing coming.

For now, Iran continues to fire, again and again.

At the same time, Donald Trump is attempting to rally France and other countries in order to widen the conflict and internationalize the theater of operations.

A way of drawing ever more actors into a world war that still does not yet speak its name.

Recent history reminds us of a simple truth:

A war is always easier to start than it is to end.

🫡 The Colonel sends his regards.


Read also
How Donald Trump lost control of the war he started.

https://www.lepoint.fr/monde/chronique-comment-donald-trump-a-perdu-la-main-sur-la-guerre-quil-a-declenchee-LWHH42RF65D3FMIB4MASCW653M/

Armées

Guerre au Moyen-Orient : La stratégie d’épuisement ne fonctionne pas toujours.

Régis Ollivier – Le 15 mars 2026


Déjà utilisée par la Russie dans la guerre contre l’Ukraine, mais aussi contre la Russie et aujourd’hui contre l’Iran, elle consiste à attendre et à annoncer que l’adversaire s’épuise en missiles et en munitions.

Comme « Soeur Anne », le monde attend et ne voit rien venir.

Pour l’instant, l’Iran tire encore et toujours.

Dans le même temps, Donald Trump cherche à mobiliser la France et d’autres pays afin d’élargir le conflit et d’en internationaliser le théâtre.

Une manière d’entraîner davantage d’acteurs dans une guerre mondiale qui ne dit pas encore son nom.

L’histoire récente nous rappelle une chose simple :

une guerre est toujours plus facile à déclencher qu’à conclure.

Le Colonel vous salue bien 🫡

Lire aussi : Comment Donald Trump a perdu la main sur la guerre qu’il a déclenchée.

https://www.lepoint.fr/monde/chronique-comment-donald-trump-a-perdu-la-main-sur-la-guerre-quil-a-declenchee-LWHH42RF65D3FMIB4MASCW653M/

Un autre regard sur le monde par Régis Ollivier

Une belle plume au service de nos valeurs

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